Very sad to note another 338 new deaths and 96,871 new COVID-19 infections reported in 24 hours. In the past 28 days, there have been 6,621 reported deaths due to COVID – the highest 28-day number since 17 March 2021.


First published in January 2022.


Correction: A previous version of this article mistakenly said that 6,621 reported deaths due to COVID in the past 28 days was the highest 28-day number since 16 March 2021. It was, in fact, since 17 March 2021.













  • 338 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 24 hours.
  • 96,871 new coronavirus infections in 24 hours and the actual number UK-wide is potentially significantly higher.
  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported across the UK in the last 7 days was 636,303, while in the last 28 days 3,527,011 infections have been reported.
  • 1,839 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days.
  • The number of deaths in the past week equates on average to around 263 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 95,891 deaths across the UK.
  • Meanwhile, 6,621 deaths due to Covid-19 have been reported across the UK in the last 28 days the highest number since 17 March 2021.
  • 1,651 Covid-19 hospital admissions occurred on 23 January 2022.
  • 16,510 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds - reported as of 26 January 2022.
  • 561 Covid-19 patients are occupying mechanical ventilation beds – according to the data reported on 26 January 2022.
  • All three of these healthcare measures a continuing concern for our seriously under-pressure NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 728 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain (31 January 2020).
  • 672 days since the first reported death (6 March 2020). Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 16.2 million people in England (according to the official reported positive cases data).
  • In this time, the virus has been responsible for at least 155,040 deaths (within 28 days of a first positive test result). Official data also currently indicate there have been 176,813 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 14 January 2022, according to the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA).
LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE (ONS, as of 6 January 2021)
🚨 1.3 million cases
🚨 1 in 50 people currently live with long COVID
🚨 4 in 10 (40%) experience symptoms for at least a year after infection
🚨 Most common symptoms: Fatigue (51%), loss of smell (37%), shortness of breath (36%) and difficulty concentrating (28%)






General Notes: UK data (including the data noted below) will not necessarily fully reflect the numbers in specific measures. where there are data issues, e.g. delays due to IT issues, or reporting arrangements for the four nations. It is important therefore to note the specific reporting cycles of UK Covid-19 data when looking at how data are presented. Seven-day rolling averages are often used to help ‘smooth’ the various reporting cycles across different nations; nevertheless, care is needed when seeking to gain an accurate picture of the situation at any time. The data for deaths attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death.

Notes: From 31 January 2022, UKHSA will move all COVID-19 case reporting in England to use a new episode-based definition which includes possible reinfections.


(Source: UK Health Security Agency)






ENGLAND


  • 11 February

If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

  • 27 January

You will not be required to wear a face covering, including in communal areas of schools, but the government suggests you continue to wear one in crowded and indoor spaces where you may come into contact with people you do not normally meet.

You’ll no longer need to show your NHS COVID Pass at venues and events by law.

  • 20 January

Staff and pupils in secondary schools and colleges will not be required to wear a face-covering in classrooms.

  • 19 January

You are no longer asked to work from home if you can. Talk to your employer to agree on arrangements to return to your workplace.

WALES


  • 11 February

If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

  • 28 January

There will be no limits on how many people can meet indoors at pubs, restaurants, cinemas and theatres. Nightclubs will reopen.

  • 21 January

Sporting events can have crowds, with no limits on how many people can attend outdoor events.

  • 15 January

Up to 500 people can attend outdoor events.

  • 6 January

If you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, most people will not need to take a PCR test to confirm the result. You must self-isolate immediately if you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result.

SCOTLAND


  • 11 February

If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in Scotland. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in Scotland. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

  • 24 January

There will be no limits on how many households can meet indoors or outdoors. There will be no need for physical distancing between groups at indoor and outdoor venues including bars, restaurants, theatres, cinemas and gyms. Table service will not be needed.

  • 17 January

Most people will need to have had a booster dose to be recognised as fully vaccinated under the COVID certification scheme.

Restrictions on numbers at outdoor events are lifted. Indoor events remain limited to 100 people standing and 200 people sitting. The COVID certification scheme must be used for both outdoor and indoor events.

  • 6 January

If you are a close contact of someone with COVID–19 and you are fully vaccinated along with your booster dose, you can take daily rapid lateral flow tests for 7 days instead of self-isolating. If you test positive or develop symptoms during this time you should self-isolate for 10 days.

If you test positive for COVID-19 you should self-isolate for 10 days. You can end self-isolation early if you do not have a high temperature and get 2 negative lateral flow test results on days 6 and 7, taken at least 24 hours apart.

If you do not have symptoms and get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, you must self-isolate. You do not need to take a PCR test to confirm your result.

Find out more on gov.scot

  • 27 December

Up to 3 households can meet with 1-metre physical distancing between groups at indoor and outdoor venues like bars, restaurants, theatres, cinemas and gyms. Table service will be needed if alcohol is being served.

NORTHERN IRELAND


  • 11 February

If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

  • 26 January

Nightclubs will reopen. You will still need to show your NI domestic certificate.

  • 21 January

Up to 30 people can meet in a private home. Organisers of large indoor gatherings at places like pubs, restaurants, cinemas and theatres need to carry out a risk assessment.

  • 5 January

If you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, you should isolate immediately. You no longer need to book a PCR test.




UK GOVERNMENT’S LATEST SELF-ISOLATION GUIDANCE

When to end self-isolation if you have had COVID-19 symptoms, have received a positive COVID-19 test result, or if you are a contact.


(Source: Gov.uk)







Boosters provide high level of protection against death with Omicron

The latest data from the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) shows that boosters significantly reduce the risk of death with Omicron.

The findings show that around 6 months after a second dose of any of the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccines, protection against death with Omicron was around 60% in those aged 50 and over. However, this increased to around 95% 2 weeks after receiving a booster vaccine dose.

The data continue to show high levels of protection against hospitalisation from the booster. After a Pfizer booster (after either primary vaccination course), vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation started at around 90%, dropping to around 75% after 10 to 14 weeks.

After a Moderna booster (mRNA-1273) (after either primary vaccination course), vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation was 90% to 95% up to 9 weeks after vaccination. Longer follow-up data is not yet available and these figures may change with time.


Going further...














“Why is the UK government removing the guidance about wearing masks to protect public health? The US government is doing the exact opposite. The UK government is disingenuous in ignoring the risks, and the facts: COVID is airborne.” – Dr Joe Pajak.







COVID-19: Spike in Omicron cases in children could lead to another surge in adults, scientists suggest
Cases in adults have been falling since 5 January, but the surge in cases in primary school children has meant infections rates have levelled off at a high rate.
What are the new Covid rules for English care homes and are they safe?
The self-isolation period for positive cases is being cut and the limit on visitors lifted from next week
‘I’ll wear one for the foreseeable’: masks abound despite England rule change
Many shoppers and commuters in London and Birmingham kept their faces covered – although not all
Don’t believe the claim that only 17,371 people have died from COVID in England and Wales.
A freedom of information request is only useful if you know how to read the data. Over 140,000 people with pre-existing conditions have died of COVID in the last two years. We should be mourning this tragic loss of life, not minimising it.
Why mathematicians sometimes get Covid projections wrong | Kit Yates
Modelling may not be a crystal ball, but it remains the best tool we have to predict the future, says mathematical scientist Kit Yates
Lockdown schooling: Research from across the world shows reasons to be hopeful.
Despite the major challenges lockdown-induced remote learning has presented, teachers, pupils and parents alike have reaped certain benefits. Can school learn from these changes?
Boris Johnson: Sue Gray’s report may prove the final straw for angry Conservative MPs.
The investigation into Downing Street parties has no power to bring the Prime Minister down. But it may still provide the ammunition that brings Boris Johnson’s government to an end.
Where (and how) you are most likely to catch COVID.
We have quantified how the different influences on transmission change your risk of getting COVID-19. The actual risk will depend on specific parameters.
Removing all restrictions clearly isn’t guided by the science – Experts.
The views of experts and health professionals on the government reducing the self-isolation period, on whether the pandemic is, at last, coming to an end, and whether it is the right time to stop all COVID restrictions.
Swab both your throat and nose to identify Omicron with lateral flow tests, experts warn
Anecdotal evidence shows that Lateral Flow Tests are more effective at identifying positive cases with both throat and nasal samples







■ 🧬 COG-UK sequencing




(Source: COG-UK)


■ 🧬 UKHSA genomically confirmed case numbers




(Source: UK Health Security Agency)







📈 UK COVID-19 data


Data up to 27 January 2022.

(Source: UK Health Security Agency)


■ 🧮 Case & Death Totals
🦠 16,245,474 positive cases so far to date (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
🕯️ 155,040 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result - since the first reported death on 6 March 2020.
🕯️ 176,813 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 14 January 2022
🕯️ 44,738 care home residents have had COVID-19 recorded on their death certificate since the pandemic began – ONS data






💉 Vaccination UK










(Source: UK Health Security Agency + Public Health Wales
+ Public Health Scotland + HSC NI + ONS)


Note: Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.








Total Cases & Total Deaths




Estimated ®️ Number

(Sources: UK Health Security Agency + Welsh Government
+ Scottish Government + N-I Ministry of Health)



Population Testing Positive for COVID-19

(Source: ONS)



Number of contact tracing alerts sent (England & Wales)

(Source: NHS)



Stringency Index

(Source: University of Oxford)


PMP Magazine

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📚 Data Sources:


PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.
(Source ▪ ONS)







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: www.pmp-magazine.com/tag/today-in-covid/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: www.pmp-magazine.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @UKHSA | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD in physical chemistry: exploring the data, governor of an NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


GET THEM INVOLVED:



Sources
  • Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 27 January 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
  • Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
  • Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
  • Icons from www.flaticon.com




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