Today, 45 new deaths and 57,623 new infections ‘reported’ on the UK government dashboard. Meanwhile, in the past 28 days, reports indicate at least 7,233 deaths. Trust in our government is at breaking point, and we have been left high and dry, with dubious infections data, to make our own choices.


First published in February 2022.












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  • 45 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 24 hours.
  • 57,623 new coronavirus infections reported in 24 hours and the actual number UK-wide is potentially significantly higher.
  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported across the UK in the last 7 days was 555,729, while in the last 28 days 2,528,893 infections have been reported.
  • 1,707 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days.
  • The number of deaths in the past week equates on average to around 244 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 89,008 deaths across the UK.
  • Meanwhile, a total of 7,233 deaths due to Covid-19 have been reported across the UK in the last 28 days.
  • 1,699 Covid-19 hospital admissions occurred on 1 February 2022.
  • 14,207 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds - reported as of 4 February 2022.
  • 474 Covid-19 patients are occupying mechanical ventilation beds – according to the data reported on 4 February 2022.
  • All three of these healthcare measures a continuing concern for our seriously under-pressure NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 739 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain (31 January 2020).
  • 703 days since the first reported death (6 March 2020). Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 17.8 million people in England (according to the official reported positive cases data).
  • In this time, the virus has been responsible for at least 158,363 deaths (within 28 days of a first positive test result). Official data also currently indicate there have been 178,488 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 21 January 2022, according to the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA).






Notes: UK data (including the data noted above) will not necessarily fully reflect the numbers in specific measures, e.g., where there are data issues, delays due to IT issues, or issues with reporting arrangements for the four nations. It is important therefore to note the specific reporting cycles of UK Covid-19 data when looking at how data are presented. Seven-day rolling averages are often used to help ‘smooth’ the various reporting cycles across different nations; nevertheless, care is needed when seeking to gain an accurate picture of the situation at any time. The deaths' data used in the charts below relate to deaths 'attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death'. Further detail can be found at the UK Health Security Agency link below.


(Source: UK Health Security Agency)





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ENGLAND


From 11 February:

  • If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

Now:

  • You no longer are required to wear a face covering, including in communal areas of schools, but the government suggests you continue to wear one in crowded and indoor spaces where you may come into contact with people you do not normally meet.
  • You no longer need to show your NHS COVID Pass at venues and events by law.
  • Staff and pupils in secondary schools and colleges are no longer required to wear a face-covering in classrooms.
  • You are no longer asked to work from home if you can. Talk to your employer to agree on arrangements to return to your workplace.

WALES


From 11 February:

  • If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

Now:

  • There are no limits on how many people can meet indoors at pubs, restaurants, cinemas and theatres. Nightclubs reopen.
  • Sporting events can have crowds, with no limits on how many people can attend outdoor events.
  • If you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, most people will not need to take a PCR test to confirm the result. You must self-isolate immediately if you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result.

SCOTLAND


From 11 February:

  • If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in Scotland. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in Scotland. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

Now:

  • There are no longer any limits on how many households can meet indoors or outdoors. There is no need for physical distancing between groups at indoor and outdoor venues including bars, restaurants, theatres, cinemas and gyms. Table service is not needed.
  • Most people don't need to have had a booster dose to be recognised as fully vaccinated under the COVID certification scheme.
  • If you are a close contact of someone with COVID–19 and you are fully vaccinated along with your booster dose, you can take daily rapid lateral flow tests for 7 days instead of self-isolating. If you test positive or develop symptoms during this time you should self-isolate for 10 days.
  • If you test positive for COVID-19 you should self-isolate for 10 days. You can end self-isolation early if you do not have a high temperature and get 2 negative lateral flow test results on days 6 and 7, taken at least 24 hours apart.
  • If you do not have symptoms and get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, you must self-isolate. You do not need to take a PCR test to confirm your result. Find out more on gov.scot

NORTHERN IRELAND


From 11 February:

  • If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.

Now:

  • Nightclubs reopen. You will still need to show your NI domestic certificate.
  • Up to 30 people can meet in a private home. Organisers of large indoor gatherings at places like pubs, restaurants, cinemas and theatres need to carry out a risk assessment.
  • If you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, you should isolate immediately. You no longer need to book a PCR test.



UK Government’s latest self-isolation guidance

When to end self-isolation if you have had COVID-19 symptoms, have received a positive COVID-19 test result, or if you are a contact.

(Source: Gov.uk)





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Omicron is back

Professor Tim Spector, lead scientist on the ZOE COVID Study app, comments on the latest data:

“While the bad news is we are again approaching 200,000 new cases a day, it’s encouraging that recorded hospitalisations, ICU cases and deaths are still coming down as Omicron is less severe in a vaccinated population. With a lag of several weeks between infections and hospitalisations, we’ll continue to monitor this rate closely in the coming weeks. We saw a similar rebound and second peak during the Delta wave as people relaxed more and children went back to school. It seems many are, again, preempting the end of the COVID-19 pandemic. It’s much too early for this. High case rates will likely be with us until late spring before the warmer weather and the summer holidays help reduce infections again.

“Over the past few weeks, the UK government's confirmed cases data has begun to move further away from ZOE’s findings. There are a number of reasons for this. The biggest factor is the change in testing behaviour that has happened this year. ZOE Contributors are now logging more positive LFTs in the app, and fewer PCRs. LFTs no longer have to be confirmed by a PCR so are often not being logged with the government, so confirmed case data is missing thousands of LFT results, leading to massive under-reporting. This subtle but important change in behaviour, highlights the importance of having multiple methods to track COVID in the population and shows the power of the citizen scientists that log with ZOE every day. The way ZOE collects and analyses the data means our data is always ahead of the other national surveys that are just beginning to show rises.”


Day by day evolution of the infection across the UK
This chart shows the number of people calculated to have COVID symptoms on each day since the 11 June 2020.

Going further...





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Vulnerable children are still waiting for vaccination, and many are being infected while they wait.
We are begging the UK Government to demonstrate humanity, decency, and a modicum of intelligence in giving all children access to vaccination.
Legal advice: Government can’t ban the use of facemasks in schools.
The Education Secretary doesn’t have the power to go over the heads of headteachers and ban the wearing of facemasks in school.
Vaccinate the kids!
Clinically Extremely Vulnerable (CEV) children are still waiting to be vaccinated, and many are being infected while they wait.
Don’t believe the claim that only 17,371 people have died from COVID in England and Wales.
A freedom of information request is only useful if you know how to read the data. Over 140,000 people with pre-existing conditions have died of COVID in the last two years. We should be mourning this tragic loss of life, not minimising it.
Where (and how) you are most likely to catch COVID.
We have quantified how the different influences on transmission change your risk of getting COVID-19. The actual risk will depend on specific parameters.





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■ 🧬 COG-UK sequencing

The Omicron variant’s sub-lineage BA.2 and second-generation sub-lineage BA.1.1 are currently spreading fast in the UK, with BA.1.1 probably on its way to replacing the original Omicron variant soon.

Dr Ameet Dravid, Chief Consultant in HIV Medicine and Infectious Disease at Pune’s Noble Hospital, in India, brilliantly explains the differences between the three Omicron variants: “To understand in simpler terms, Omicron is the parent while BA.1 and BA.2 are the daughters and BA.1.1 is the daughter of BA.1. While all are from the Omicron variant family, they have specific mutations which may differ in their behaviour.”




(Source: COG-UK)


■ 🧬 UKHSA genomically confirmed case numbers




(Source: UK Health Security Agency)





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📈 UK COVID-19 data


Data up to 7 February 2022.

(Source: UK Health Security Agency)


■ 🧮 Case & Death Totals
🦠 17,866,632 positive cases so far to date (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
🕯️ 158,363 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result - since the first reported death on 6 March 2020.
🕯️ 178,488 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 21 January 2022





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💉 Vaccination UK









(Source: UK Health Security Agency + Public Health Wales
+ Public Health Scotland + HSC NI + ONS)


Note: Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.






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🧩 Long COVID UK

LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE (ONS – 3 Feb 2022)
🚨 1.33 million people currently live with long COVID in the UK
🚨 2.1% of the UK population currently live with long COVID
🚨 Long COVID symptoms adversely affect the day-to-day activities of 836,000 people (63% of long COVID sufferers)
🚨 Most common symptoms: Fatigue (50%), shortness of breath (37%), loss of smell (37%) and loss of taste (28%)

(Source: ONS)





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Total Cases & Total Deaths




Estimated ®️ Number

(Sources: UK Health Security Agency + Welsh Government
+ Scottish Government + N-I Ministry of Health)



Population Testing Positive for COVID-19

(Source: ONS)



Number of contact tracing alerts sent (England & Wales)

(Source: NHS)



Stringency Index

(Source: University of Oxford)


PMP Magazine


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📚 Data Sources:


PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.
(Source ▪ ONS)







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: www.pmp-magazine.com/tag/today-in-covid/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: www.pmp-magazine.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @UKHSA | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD in physical chemistry: exploring the data, governor of an NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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Sources
  • Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 7 February 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
  • Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
  • Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
  • Icons from www.flaticon.com