35 new deaths and 41,648 new infections were reported on the UK government dashboard today. We must continue to watch weekly UKHSA data, ONS data, and ZOE data as they enable a more accurate assessment of the current Covid-19 situation.


First published in February 2022.












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  • 35 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 24 hours.
  • 41,648 new coronavirus infections reported in 24 hours and the actual number UK-wide is potentially significantly higher, always worth checking out the data provide by the ONS and by the King’s College team in the accompanying tables.
  • The total number of coronavirus infections reported across the UK in the last 7 days was 388,877, while in the last 28 days 2,217,394 infections have been reported.
  • 1,243 deaths due to coronavirus have been reported in the last 7 days.
  • The number of deaths in the past week equates on average to around 178 deaths each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by Covid-19, then annually this would equate to around 64,814 deaths across the UK.
  • Meanwhile, a total of 6,631 deaths due to Covid-19 have been reported across the UK in the last 28 days.
  • 1,413 Covid-19 hospital admissions occurred on 8 February 2022.
  • 12,357 patients suffering from Covid-19 are currently occupying hospital beds - reported as of 11 February 2022.
  • 416 Covid-19 patients are occupying mechanical ventilation beds – according to the data reported on 11 February 2022.
  • All three of these healthcare measures a continuing concern for our seriously under-pressure NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 746 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain (31 January 2020).
  • 710 days since the first reported death (6 March 2020). Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting over 18.3 million people in the UK (according to the official reported positive cases data).
  • In this time, the virus has been responsible for at least 159,605 deaths (within 28 days of a first positive test result). Official data also currently indicate there have been 180,033 deaths in total, where the deceased person’s death certificate mentioned COVID-19 as one of the causes, registered up to Friday 28 January 2022, according to the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA).






Notes: UK data (including the data noted above) will not necessarily fully reflect the numbers in specific measures, e.g., where there are data issues, delays due to IT issues, or issues with reporting arrangements for the four nations. It is important therefore to note the specific reporting cycles of UK Covid-19 data when looking at how data are presented. Seven-day rolling averages are often used to help ‘smooth’ the various reporting cycles across different nations; nevertheless, care is needed when seeking to gain an accurate picture of the situation at any time. The deaths’ data used in the charts below relate to deaths ‘attributed to COVID-19 – each following a reported positive test result for COVID-19 within 28 days of their death’.

Further detail can be found at the UK Health Security Agency link below.


(Source: UK Health Security Agency)





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ENGLAND


Now:

  • If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • You no longer are required to wear a face covering, including in communal areas of schools, but the government suggests you continue to wear one in crowded and indoor spaces where you may come into contact with people you do not normally meet.
  • You no longer need to show your NHS COVID Pass at venues and events by law.
  • Staff and pupils in secondary schools and colleges are no longer required to wear a face-covering in classrooms.
  • You are no longer asked to work from home if you can. Talk to your employer to agree on arrangements to return to your workplace.

WALES


From 28 February:

  • You will only have to wear a face-covering in shops, on public transport and in healthcare settings.

From 18 February:

  • You will no longer be legally required to show your NHS COVID Pass at venues and events.

Now:

  • If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • There are no limits on how many people can meet indoors at pubs, restaurants, cinemas and theatres. Nightclubs reopen.
  • Sporting events can have crowds, with no limits on how many people can attend outdoor events.
  • If you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, most people will not need to take a PCR test to confirm the result. You must self-isolate immediately if you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result.

SCOTLAND


Now:

  • If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in Scotland. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in Scotland. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • There are no longer any limits on how many households can meet indoors or outdoors. There is no need for physical distancing between groups at indoor and outdoor venues including bars, restaurants, theatres, cinemas and gyms. Table service is not needed.
  • Most people don't need to have had a booster dose to be recognised as fully vaccinated under the COVID certification scheme.
  • If you are a close contact of someone with COVID–19 and you are fully vaccinated along with your booster dose, you can take daily rapid lateral flow tests for 7 days instead of self-isolating. If you test positive or develop symptoms during this time you should self-isolate for 10 days.
  • If you test positive for COVID-19 you should self-isolate for 10 days. You can end self-isolation early if you do not have a high temperature and get 2 negative lateral flow test results on days 6 and 7, taken at least 24 hours apart.
  • If you do not have symptoms and get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, you must self-isolate. You do not need to take a PCR test to confirm your result. Find out more on gov.scot

NORTHERN IRELAND


Now:

  • If you’re fully vaccinated you will no longer need to take a COVID-19 test either before or after arrival in the UK. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • If you are not fully vaccinated you will need to take a pre-departure test and a PCR test on or before day 2 after you arrive in the UK. You will not need to quarantine unless the result of the PCR test is positive. You still need to complete a passenger locator form.
  • Nightclubs reopen. You will still need to show your NI domestic certificate.
  • Up to 30 people can meet in a private home. Organisers of large indoor gatherings at places like pubs, restaurants, cinemas and theatres need to carry out a risk assessment.
  • If you get a positive rapid lateral flow test result, you should isolate immediately. You no longer need to book a PCR test.



UK Government’s latest self-isolation guidance

When to end self-isolation if you have had COVID-19 symptoms, have received a positive COVID-19 test result, or if you are a contact.

(Source: Gov.uk)





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Percentage of workforce self-isolating by sector

According to the ONS, the percentage of people self-isolating increased in the social care, teaching and education and health care sectors in the two weeks ending 29 January 2022. The sectors with the highest percentage of the workforce in self-isolation due to the COVID-19 were social care (4.0%) and teaching and education (3.9%), with 95% confidence intervals. The retail sector had the lowest estimated percentage of the workforce in self-isolation at 2.2%.

On 29 January 2022, the social care, health care, and food production, agriculture and farming sector reached estimates within one percentage point of their early January peak. It is estimated that the teaching and education sector may have passed its early January peak.

Overall, in England, the percentage of the working-age population self-isolating increased in the two weeks ending 29 January 2022 (to 2.7% from 2.2% on 15 January 2022). In Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, the trend in the percentage of the working-age population self-isolating due to COVID-19 showed some possible signs of an increase in the two weeks ending 29 January 2022 but with high uncertainty.


On 29 January 2022 the sectors with the highest estimated percentage of people self-isolating due to COVID-19 were teaching and education and social care
Estimated percentage of the workforce self-isolating because of the COVID-19, by work sector from 5 December 2021 to 29 January 2022, United Kingdom

Going further...





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■ 🧬 COG-UK sequencing

The Omicron variant’s sub-lineage BA.2 and second-generation sub-lineage BA.1.1 are currently spreading fast in the UK, with BA.1.1 probably on its way to replacing the original Omicron variant soon.

The WHO is getting concerned about BA.2 outcompeting and displacing the original Omicron. We must remain vigilant.




(Source: COG-UK)



■ 🧬 UKHSA genomically confirmed case numbers




(Source: UK Health Security Agency)





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📈 UK COVID-19 data


Data up to 14 February 2022.

(Source: UK Health Security Agency)


■ 🧮 Case & Death Totals
🦠 18,348,029 positive cases so far to date (recorded) – Since the first case was reported at the end of January 2020
🕯️ 159,605 deaths so far – Number recorded within 28 days of first positive test result - since the first reported death on 6 March 2020.
🕯️ 180,033 total deaths – Total number of people whose death certificate mentioned Covid-19 as one of the causes – Registered up to Friday 28 January 2022





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💉 Vaccination UK









(Source: UK Health Security Agency + Public Health Wales
+ Public Health Scotland + HSC NI + ONS)


Note: Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.






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🧩 Long COVID UK

LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE (ONS – 3 Feb 2022)
🚨 1.33 million people currently live with long COVID in the UK
🚨 2.1% of the UK population currently live with long COVID
🚨 Long COVID symptoms adversely affect the day-to-day activities of 836,000 people (63% of long COVID sufferers)
🚨 Most common symptoms: Fatigue (50%), shortness of breath (37%), loss of smell (37%) and loss of taste (28%)

(Source: ONS)





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Total Cases & Total Deaths




Estimated ®️ Number

(Sources: UK Health Security Agency + Welsh Government
+ Scottish Government + N-I Ministry of Health)



Population Testing Positive for COVID-19

(Source: ONS)



Number of contact tracing alerts sent (England & Wales)

(Source: NHS)



Stringency Index

(Source: University of Oxford)


PMP Magazine


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📚 Data Sources:


PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021.
(Source ▪ ONS)







📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #TodayInCovid: www.pmp-magazine.com/tag/today-in-covid/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: www.pmp-magazine.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @UKHSA | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak & #NHS




— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD in physical chemistry: exploring the data, governor of an NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.


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Sources
  • Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 14 February 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
  • Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
  • Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
  • Icons from www.flaticon.com