The Zoe COVID Study’s positive symptomatic case estimate is currently 131,619 cases (+15.4% in a week). The 7-day estimate shows 841,307 cases in a week (+5.1%). On average, it is now estimated that 120,187 people are still infected by coronavirus every day in the UK.
First published in June 2022.
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Latest UK Dashboard
Reminder on data reporting in the UK:
▫ England reports every working day
▫ Scotland reports on Mondays and Thursdays only
▫ Wales reports on Thursdays only
▫ Northern Ireland has stopped reporting altogether
Zoe Study UK Latest Estimates
𝗣𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗦𝘆𝗺𝗽𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗰 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲𝘀 (as of 6-Jun)
▫ 24h: 131,619
▫ 7d: 841,307
▫ 28d: 3,352,171
▫ 120,187 per day
𝗖𝘂𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗦𝘆𝗺𝗽𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗰 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲𝘀
𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲𝘀 𝗦𝗶𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝟭-𝗝𝗮𝗻-𝟮𝟮
ONS Infection Survey UK Latest Estimates
𝗣𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗦𝘆𝗺𝗽𝘁𝗼𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗰 𝗖𝗮𝘀𝗲𝘀 (as of 27-May)
▫ 7d: 953,900
▫ 28d: 3,815,600
▫ 136,271 per day
(Source: Zoe COVID Study)
■ UK Government’s List of symptoms of COVID-19
After two years without updating its list of just three symptoms of COVID-19 (a high temperature, a new continuous cough and a loss or change to the sense of smell or taste), the NHS has finally updated its list of symptoms of COVID:
😩 Shortness of breath
🥱 Feeling tired or exhausted
🤕 An aching body
🤯 A headache
🤐 A sore throat
🤧 A blocked or runny nose
😞 Loss of appetite
🤮 Feeling sick or being sick
■ ZOE COVID Study’s Top 20 symptoms of COVID-19 (as of 26-May-2022)
#UK #COVID #Daily #BA2 #Wave5 #cases to:#England May31⬇️2% on week, trend⬆️#Scotland May29⬆️17% on week, trend⬆️#Wales May25🙄⬇️16% on week, trend ⬇️#NIreland ❓data stopped🙄https://t.co/MMpjzXvLLR— Bit Boring Peter 🕊️🇬🇧🏴🇪🇺☦️💙😴 (@peter_boring) June 8, 2022
I'm "calling it". Next Wave has started🙄
Watch Friday 10th June #ONS!
#COVID #Hospital #Daily #BA2 #Wave5 #June8#Hospital #Admissions #UK #England to June3⬆️10% on week, trend⬆️#Scotland to May31⬆️3% on week, trend↔️#Wales to June4⬇️38% on week, trend↔️low numbers#NIreland to June2⬇️58% on week. trend↔️low numbershttps://t.co/9m3QeOy0tS— Bit Boring Peter 🕊️🇬🇧🏴🇪🇺☦️💙😴 (@peter_boring) June 8, 2022
Total #Covid #OccupiedBeds in #UK #Hospitals— Bit Boring Peter 🕊️🇬🇧🏴🇪🇺☦️💙😴 (@peter_boring) June 8, 2022
"With", or "for", Covid, there has to be #infection #control, in case you give it to someone REALLY ILL#England to June5⬇️2% on week#Scotland to June3⬇️2% on week#Wales to June4⬇️19% on week#NIreland to June2⬇️18% on week
#UK #VentBeds #Daily #BA2 #Wave5— Bit Boring Peter 🕊️🇬🇧🏴🇪🇺☦️💙😴 (@peter_boring) June 8, 2022
These are #ventilator/#intubated #beds, the REALLY serious #Covid cases#England to June5⬇️5% on week#Scotland to June3⬆️10% on week#Wales to June4⬇️26% on week#NIreland to May22 = 1 vent bed. Data stopped🙄https://t.co/9m3QeOy0tS
#UK #COVID #Deaths #Daily #UKHSA #BA2 #Wave5#England to May31⬇️29% on week, trend⬇️#Scotland to May25 = 5 deaths. Data stopped🙄#Wales to May25⬇️trend ? 2 deaths#NIreland data stopped🙄#ONS not caught up yet. IMO probably 1 or 2— Bit Boring Peter 🕊️🇬🇧🏴🇪🇺☦️💙😴 (@peter_boring) June 8, 2022
I think this will be at least a half-wave.— Bit Boring Peter 🕊️🇬🇧🏴🇪🇺☦️💙😴 (@peter_boring) June 8, 2022
I include a big "Summer" adjustment.
So I guestimate a peak of:
1350 admissions a day
10000 folks in hospital
150 a day 28-day deaths.
I guestimate a MINIMUM of 1000, 7500, and 100.
MAXIMUM of 2500, 15000, 200,
(on almost no data🙄)
⚠️UK data at another inflection point - after much indoor mixing, few masks, vaccine waning, poor leadership, poor messaging.— Dr Joe Pajak 💙 CSci NHS FT Governor (@JoePajak) June 8, 2022
[Meanwhile @Join_ZOE estimate rising too].
🚨This is how previous waves began, under the radar.#CovidIsNotOver #COVIDisAirborne https://t.co/SO910WM9FB
Since February, the UKHSA has stopped publishing COVID updates at weekends. Now they take place on Mondays and Thursdays only. Since 20 May, the UK dashboard has stopped updating Northern Ireland data altogether and updates Wales on Thursdays only.
The virus doesn’t take a break at weekends.
It doesn’t show up twice a week only.
It doesn’t stop at a border either.
It spreads and kills people every day in the UK and around the world.
We, at PMP, have decided to continue to publish the latest COVID data available every day, especially the Zoe COVID Study estimates – probably more accurate than the UK Government’s own data since free testing has ended in England.
Please support our work to help us to continue our COVID reporting: Donate now.
■ 🧬 COG-UK sequencing
💉 Latest UK Vaccination
Note: UK vaccination data is now published weekly on Mondays.
Note: Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021. (Source: ONS)
Researchers still don’t know precisely how many get long Covid, what causes it or how best to treat it.
About 1 in 5 US adults have health problems from COVID long after they first test positive, according to a report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).
- Is Omicron Creating More Cases of Long Covid? — Bloomberg
Researchers say more study is needed on the effectiveness of booster shots against long COVID.
- Long Covid can lead to trauma and depression — Sunday Times
Research carried out in the Mater Hospital in Dublin has found significant evidence of brain-related neurological and psychiatric conditions among Irish patients with long Covid.
🚨 2.0 million people currently live with long COVID in the UK (vs 1.8 million last month)
🚨 3.1% of the UK population currently live with long COVID (vs 2.8%)
🚨 1 in 33 people in the UK has long COVID
🚨 Long COVID symptoms adversely affect the day-to-day activities of 1.4 million people, 71% of long COVID sufferers (vs 1.2 million)
🚨 Of those, 398,000 people (20%) are “limited a lot” (vs 346,000)
🚨 593,000 (30%) first had COVID-19 before Alpha became the main variant; 239,000 (12%) in the Alpha period, 427,000 (21%) in the Delta period, and 619,000 (31%) in the Omicron period.
🚨 Most common symptoms of long COVID:
▫ fatigue (55%)
▫ shortness of breath (32%)
▫ cough (23%)
▫ muscle ache (23%)
🚨 Prevalence of long COVID is greatest in people:
▫ aged 35-69 years
▫ living in more deprived areas
▫ working in social care, teaching, education or health care
▫ with another activity-limiting health condition or disability
■ Number of contact tracing alerts sent (England & Wales)
(Source: University of Oxford)
📚 Data Sources:
- Daily summary: Coronavirus in the UK | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Advice | PMP Magazine
- Variants: distribution of cases data | UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA)
- Vaccination Data | UK Government
- What’s new | UK Government
— AUTHORS —
▫ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.
- Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 8 June 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
- Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
- Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
- Icons from www.flaticon.com