The next COVID wave is here. The NHS is running on empty, and now it’s running blind; the data should be ringing alarm bells.
The Zoe COVID Study’s positive symptomatic case estimate is currently 175,487 cases (+29.3% in a week). The 7-day estimate shows 1,090,440 cases in a week (+23.2%). On average, it is now estimated that at least 155,777 people are still infected by coronavirus every day in the UK.
First published in June 2022.
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Latest UK Dashboard
Reminder on data reporting in the UK:
▫ England reports every working day
▫ Scotland reports on Mondays and Thursdays only
▫ Wales reports on Thursdays only
▫ Northern Ireland has stopped reporting altogether
(Source: UKHSA | ZOE | ONS)
Zoe COVID Study & ONS Infection Survey UK Latest Estimates
■ Zoe COVID Study
■ ONS Infection Survey UK Latest Estimates
■ UK Government’s List of symptoms of COVID-19
After two years without updating its list of just three symptoms of COVID-19 (a high temperature, a new continuous cough and a loss or change to the sense of smell or taste), the NHS has finally updated its list of symptoms of COVID:
😩 Shortness of breath
🥱 Feeling tired or exhausted
🤕 An aching body
🤯 A headache
🤐 A sore throat
🤧 A blocked or runny nose
😞 Loss of appetite
🤮 Feeling sick or being sick
■ ZOE COVID Study’s Top 20 symptoms of COVID-19 (as of 26-May-2022)
- Infections rise across the UK – ONS
The percentage of people testing positive for COVID-19 increased in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland in the week ending 11 June 2022 (10 June for Scotland).
The increase was likely caused by infections from Omicron variants BA.4 and BA.5.
The estimated percentage of the community population (those not in hospitals, care homes or other institutional settings) that had COVID-19 in the latest week was:
- 1 in 50 people in England
- 1 in 45 people in Wales
- 1 in 45 people in Northern Ireland
- 1 in 30 people in Scotland
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“Apparently, ‘There is no agreed “threshold” at which NHS England would consider reintroducing ‘infection prevention and control’ regulations’.
“As a scientist, I have to ask a simple question; a question every scientist, every politician, every one of us should be asking: Why?
“The NHS is running on empty, and now it’s running blind; the data should be ringing alarm bells.” — Dr Joe Pajak.
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Since February 2022, the UKHSA has slowly reduced the publishing of its daily COVID updates, following the UK Government’s narrative that we should all “live with the virus”.
England now reports on weekdays, Scotland reports on Mondays and Thursdays only, Wales reports on Thursdays only, and Northern Ireland has stopped reporting altogether.
The virus doesn’t take a break at weekends.
It doesn’t infect people from time to time.
It doesn’t stop at a border either.
The virus still spreads and kills people every day in the UK and around the world. COVID-19 is NOT over.
We, at PMP, have decided to continue to publish the latest COVID data available every day, especially the Zoe COVID Study estimates – probably more accurate than the UK Government’s own data since free testing has ended in England, and the ONS COVID Infection Survey estimates.
Please, support our work through our crowdfunding to help us to continue our COVID reporting: Donate now.
■ 🧬 COG-UK sequencing
💉 Latest UK Vaccination
Note: UK vaccination data is now published weekly on Mondays.
Note: Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021. (Source: ONS)
- Almost 1 in 20 older pupils have had long COVID | ONS
- As the pandemic ebbs, long-haul Covid still drains patients and confounds doctors | The Guardian
- Long COVID found in 20% of US cases — CDC
- Is Omicron Creating More Cases of Long Covid? — Bloomberg
- Long Covid can lead to trauma and depression — Sunday Times
🚨 2.0 million people currently live with long COVID in the UK (vs 1.8 million last month)
🚨 3.1% of the UK population currently live with long COVID (vs 2.8%)
🚨 1 in 33 people in the UK has long COVID
🚨 Long COVID symptoms adversely affect the day-to-day activities of 1.4 million people, 71% of long COVID sufferers (vs 1.2 million)
🚨 Of those, 398,000 people (20%) are “limited a lot” (vs 346,000)
🚨 593,000 (30%) first had COVID-19 before Alpha became the main variant; 239,000 (12%) in the Alpha period, 427,000 (21%) in the Delta period, and 619,000 (31%) in the Omicron period.
🚨 Most common symptoms of long COVID:
▫ fatigue (55%)
▫ shortness of breath (32%)
▫ cough (23%)
▫ muscle ache (23%)
🚨 Prevalence of long COVID is greatest in people:
▫ aged 35-69 years
▫ living in more deprived areas
▫ working in social care, teaching, education or health care
▫ with another activity-limiting health condition or disability
■ Absence & Attendance in Schools
■ Number of contact tracing alerts sent (England & Wales)
(Source: University of Oxford)
📚 Data Sources:
- Daily summary: Coronavirus in the UK | UK Government
- Coronavirus (COVID-19) NHS Advice | PMP Magazine
- Variants: distribution of cases data | UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA)
- Vaccination Data | UK Government
- What’s new | UK Government
— AUTHORS —
▫ J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.
- Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 17 June 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
- Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
- Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
- Icons from www.flaticon.com