Although the UKHSA COVID dashboard has now moved to weekly reporting to hide the inconvenient truth about the current rising wave of infection, PMP continues to publish its daily report.


The Zoe COVID Study’s positive symptomatic case estimate is currently 312,713 cases (-10.6% in a week). The 7-day estimate shows 2,346,708 cases in a week (-2.3%). On average, it is now estimated that at least 335,244 people are still infected by coronavirus every day in the UK.

🙈🙉🙊 #CovidIsNotOver


First published in July 2022.







covid summary


Latest UK Dashboard


Reminder on data reporting in the UK

From Friday 1 July 2022, the COVID-19 UKHSA Dashboard moves to weekly reporting.
The reporting of ZOE COVID Study data will remain daily.
The reporting of ONS Infection Survey data will remain weekly with a 7-day lag.




(Source: UKHSA | ZOE | ONS)


UKHSA Latest Data – ENGLAND ONLY

The data below are as officially reported today for the latest ‘available’ data set in each case.

  • 908 deaths in England [within 28 days of first positive test result for COVID-19] as reported on the official dashboard in relation to the 7 days from 9 July 2022 - 15 July 2022
  • 577,691 coronavirus infections have been reported across England in the last 28 days according to data in the latest England data report.
  • The number of deaths in England in the latest 7 day period [as reported above] equates on average to around 129.7 deaths on each of the past 7 days. If this was to be the “new normal” for daily deaths caused by COVID-19, then annually this would equate to around 47,346 deaths across England.
  • Meanwhile, a total of 2,750 deaths due to COVID-19 have been reported across England in the last 28 days - according to data in the latest official England data report - up to 18 July 2022.
  • 1,754 COVID-19 hospital admissions in England occurred on 18 July 2022.
  • 12,038 patients were admitted to hospital in England in the last 7 days, according to the latest data provided.
  • 13,545 patients suffering from COVID-19 are currently occupying hospital beds in Englandreported as of 20 July 2022.
  • 287 COVID-19 patients are occupying mechanical ventilation beds in England - according to the data reported on 20 July 2022.
  • All three of these healthcare measures an increasing concern for our under-pressure NHS.

SO FAR:

  • 902 days since the first infection due to the SARS-CoV-2 virus was reported in Britain (31 January 2020)
  • 866 days since the first reported death in Britain (6 March 2020). Coronavirus has now been responsible for infecting around 19.5 million people in England (according to the official reported positive cases data)

Zoe COVID Study & ONS Infection Survey UK Latest Estimates




■ Zoe COVID Study





■ ONS Infection Survey UK Latest Estimates







latest guidance


UK Government’s List of symptoms of COVID-19

After two years without updating its list of just three symptoms of COVID-19 (a high temperature, a new continuous cough and a loss or change to the sense of smell or taste), the NHS has finally updated its list of symptoms of COVID:

😩 Shortness of breath
🥱 Feeling tired or exhausted
🤕 An aching body
🤯 A headache
🤐 A sore throat
🤧 A blocked or runny nose
😞 Loss of appetite
🥴 Diarrhoea
🤮 Feeling sick or being sick


TRAVEL: ENTRY RULES AND RESTRICTIONS

Check out the latest situation for 20 of the top travel destinations for Brits:



ZOE COVID Study’s Top 20 symptoms of COVID-19 (as of 14-Jul-2022)


ZOE COVID Study’s Incidence by Age Group (as of 14-Jul-2022)



People with symptoms of a respiratory infection including COVID-19
Guidance for people with symptoms of a respiratory infection including COVID-19, or a positive test result for COVID-19.
COVID-19: people with COVID-19 and their contacts
Infectious diseases: schools and other childcare settings
Managing cases of infectious diseases in schools and other childcare settings posters.
Ventilation to reduce the spread of respiratory infections, including COVID-19
Guidance on the ventilation of indoor spaces to reduce the spread of respiratory infections, including coronavirus (COVID-19).
List of general population COVID-19 testing providers - GOV.UK

(Source: Gov.uk)






latest news


Reinfection risk much higher in Omicron period – ONS

The risk of reinfection with coronavirus (COVID-19) was about five times higher in the period when Omicron variants were dominant, compared with when Delta was the main variant in the UK.

Omicron variants have been dominant from 20 December 2021 to 1 July 2022. Before then, the Delta variant of coronavirus was dominant from 17 May 2021 to 19 December 2021.

These figures are just for first reinfections, that is, people who have had coronavirus twice. Most people who were reinfected in the Omicron period first caught coronavirus in the Alpha and Delta periods.

[Read more...]

Deaths involving COVID-19 increased in Great Britain – ONS

There were 506 deaths involving COVID-19 registered in the week ending 8 July 2022 in Great Britain, an increase from 393 in the previous week. This accounted for 4.5% of all deaths in the latest week; an increase from 3.4% in the previous week. UK figures are not available for the latest week because of a bank holiday in Northern Ireland.

[Read more...]

Around 1 in 25 report long COVID with Omicron after three vaccines – ONS

Around 1 in every 25 adults who were triple vaccinated reported long COVID 12 weeks after being infected with the Omicron variants BA.1 or BA.2.

This was similar to the risk seen among triple-vaccinated adults first infected with the Delta variant of coronavirus (COVID-19), after adjusting for socio-demographic characteristics.

In data to 27 May 2022 from the Coronavirus Infection Survey, 4.5%, 4.2% and 5.0% of triple-vaccinated adults self-reported having long COVID 12 to 16 weeks after a first laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection compatible with the Omicron BA.1, Omicron BA.2 or Delta variants, respectively.

[Read more...]



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we need your help


Since February 2022, the UKHSA has slowly reduced the publishing of its daily COVID updates, following the UK Government’s narrative that we should all “live with the virus”.

UKHSA now reports only once a week.

The virus doesn’t take a break 6 days a week.
It doesn’t infect people from time to time.
It doesn’t stop at a border either.

The virus still spreads and kills people every day in the UK and around the world. COVID-19 is NOT over.

We, at PMP, have decided to continue to publish the latest COVID data available every day, especially the Zoe COVID Study estimates – probably more accurate than the UK Government’s own data since free testing has ended in England,  and the ONS COVID Infection Survey estimates.

Please, support our work through our crowdfunding to help us to continue our COVID reporting: Donate now.


🙈🙉🙊 #CovidIsNotOver.






must-read


The morning symptom which means you should ‘assume you have Covid’
A leading Covid scientist said twice as many people have coronavirus as the common cold.
Coronavirus may enter the brain by building tiny tunnels from the nose
How the virus behind covid-19 enters the brain was somewhat of a mystery, but new evidence hints it may build tiny tubes from nose cells to brain cells that it can shuttle through
Covid hospital numbers rise in Scotland for the sixth week in a row
Patients in Scottish hospitals with a positive Covid-19 test have jumped yet again.
There’s a new 10-point plan to tackle Covid, so here’s whether the UK can actually do it
Top academics have drawn up a list of suggested measures one year after Freedom Day ended lockdown restrictions

Stronger democracies have seen fewer excess deaths during COVID.
The way societies are governed seems to have influenced how they’ve fared in terms of excess deaths during the pandemic. For pandemic preparedness, the public must be able to trust authorities and institutions.
Long COVID: Female sex, older age and existing health problems increase risk – new research.
A new study has analysed UK data from long-term health surveys and electronic health records to understand how common long COVID is, and who might be at higher risk.






variant news



■ 🧬 COG-UK sequencing

  • The BA.5 sub-variant is now dominant in the UK
  • The next sub-variant to worry about, BA.2.75, may be able to spread rapidly and get around immunity from vaccines and previous infection




(Source: COG-UK)






full data


📈 ENGLAND COMBINED COVID-19 CHART


(Source: UK Health Security Agency)



📈 UKHSA COVID-19 CHARTS


























■ Timeline of COVID-19 Deaths (ONS)







vaccination


💉 Latest UK Vaccination

Note: UK vaccination data is now published weekly on Wednesdays.






(Source: UK Health Security Agency + Public Health Wales
+ Public Health Scotland + HSC NI + ONS)


Note: Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021. (Source: ONS)









long covid


🧩 Long COVID


LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE (ONS – 7 July 2022)

🚨 2 million people currently live with long COVID in the UK (vs 2 million last month)
🚨 3% of the UK population currently live with long COVID (vs 3.1%)
🚨 1 in 33 people in the UK has long COVID
🚨 Long COVID symptoms adversely affect the day-to-day activities of 1.4 million people, 74% of long COVID sufferers (vs 1.4 million)
🚨 Of those, 409,000 people (21%) are “limited a lot” (vs 398,000)
🚨 570,000 (29%) first had COVID-19 before Alpha became the main variant; 237,000 (12%) in the Alpha period, 394,000 (20%) in the Delta period, and 642,000 (33%) in the Omicron period.
LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE

🚨 Most common symptoms of long COVID
▫ fatigue (56%)
▫ shortness of breath (31%)
▫ loss of smell (22%)
▫ muscle ache (21%)

🚨 Prevalence of long COVID is greatest in people
▫ aged 35-69 years
▫ females
▫ living in more deprived areas
▫ working in social care, teaching, education or health care
▫ with another activity-limiting health condition or disability

🚨 Long COVID by occupation (ONS – 29 Jun-2022)
▫ Police and protective services (25%)
▫ Education (22%)
▫ Social care sector (22%)









long covid kids


🧩 Long COVID Kids

LONG COVID KIDS

According to a recent systematic review and meta-analyses of Long-COVID in children and adolescents published in Nature:

🚨 Long COVID affects 1 in 4 infected children (25.24%)

🚨 For hospitalised children, prevalence of long-COVID is nearly 1 in 3 infected children (29.19%)

🚨 Most prevalent clinical manifestations of Long COVID in children/adolescents:
▫ mood symptoms (16.50%)
▫ fatigue (9.66%)
▫ sleep disorders (8.42%)
▫ headache (7.84%)
▫ respiratory symptoms (7.62%)
▫ sputum production or nasal congestion (7.53%)
▫ cognitive symptoms (6.27%)
▫ loss of appetite (6.07%)
▫ exercise intolerance (5.73%)
▫ altered smell (5.60%)

🚨 Children infected by COVID-19 have a higher risk of persistent dyspnea, anosmia/ageusia, and/or fever

🚨 Like adults, the pediatric population’s risk factors associated with long-COVID are:
▫ older age children
▫ female gender
▫ severe COVID-19
▫ overweight/obesity
▫ comorbid allergic diseases and other long-term co-morbidities

Click to enlarge


Conclusion

The authors of the systematic review and meta-analyses of Long-COVID in children and adolescents conclude:

🧾
Protective measures are essential to prevent long-COVID in children. We need to understand the long-COVID pathophysiology and symptomatology to support clinical management systems, establish rehabilitation programs, and design guidelines and therapeutic research.
Long-COVID represents a significant public health concern, and there are no guidelines to address its diagnosis and management.
“Our meta-analyses further support the importance of continuously monitoring the impact of long-COVID in children and adolescents and the need to include all variables and appropriate control cohorts in studies to better understand the real burden of pediatric long-COVID.”






education


Absence & Attendance in Schools

Going further...






additional data


Weekly New Hospital Admissions for COVID-19 (per million)




Cumulative number of people who have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK

(Source: ONS)



Total Cases & Total Deaths




Estimated ®️ Number

(Sources: UK Health Security Agency + Welsh Government
+ Scottish Government + N-I Ministry of Health)



Population Testing Positive for COVID-19

(Source: ONS)



Number of contact tracing alerts sent (England & Wales)

(Source: NHS)



Stringency Index

(Source: University of Oxford)






data sources


📚 Data Sources:








📈 Full Daily UK #COVID19 Charts & Comments via #LatestCovid: www.pmp-magazine.com/tag/latest-covid/

🦠 Everything #COVID19: www.pmp-magazine.com/covid19/

🗃️ Sources: @CovidGenomicsUK | @UKHSA | @ONS

🧮 Special thanks: @JoePajak | #NHS | NHS staff




PMP Magazine


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— AUTHORS —

Dr Joe Pajak, PhD in physical chemistry: exploring the data, governor of an NHS FT hospital.
J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.



Sources
  • Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 20 July 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
  • Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
  • Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
  • Icons from www.flaticon.com





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