965 days since the first case of coronavirus in the UK.

The ZOE COVID Study’s positive symptomatic case estimate is currently 144,813 cases (+16.1% in a week). The 7-day estimate shows 923,235 cases (+10.4%).

On average, it is now estimated that at least 132,748 people are still infected by coronavirus every day in the UK.

This is the equivalent of the population ¹ of the Borough of Tonbridge and Malling, in Kent ² being infected every day.


Vaccination remains the best defence against severe disease and hospitalisation. It is also very much sensible to wear a face covering in crowded, enclosed spaces.



🙈🙉🙊 #CovidIsNotOver


First published in Sept 2022.







covid summary


Latest UK Dashboard 🆕


Reminder on data reporting in the UK

Since 1 July 2022, the COVID-19 UKHSA Dashboard has moved to weekly reporting. From 8 September 2022, updates take place on Thursdays.
The reporting of ZOE COVID Study data has remained daily.
The reporting of ONS Infection Survey data has remained weekly with a 7-day lag.




(Source: UKHSA | ZOE | ONS)


Zoe COVID Study Estimates

■ Daily Estimated Cases 🆕

After having plateaued for a couple of weeks, the number of symptomatic cases is again on the increase. How prepared are we for the autumn and winter waves? Shouldn’t booster jabs be available to everyone as soon as possible?

(Note: ZOE daily new cases are updated daily at 9am and based on PCR and LFT test data as of 2 days ago.)





ONS Infection Survey Estimates

■ Weekly Estimates Cases

The percentage of people testing positive for COVID-19 continued to decrease in England, trends were uncertain in Wales and Northern Ireland, and the percentage increased in Scotland.

The ONS estimates that 881,200 people tested positive for COVID-19 in that week.




ONS Estimated Rate of COVID-19 Reinfections

The estimated rate for reinfections has increased dramatically since Omicron variants became dominant 🆕

According to the ONS, there has been a large increase in the rates for all first reinfections since the Omicron variants became dominant, from 12.7 per 100,000 participant days at risk (95% confidence interval: 11.8 to 13.7) on 20 December 2021, to a high of 50.2 per 100,000 participant days at risk (95% confidence interval: 48.8 to 51.5) on the 25 April 2022. The rate has decreased slightly since, likely owing to varying levels of protection provided by past infections, including with Omicron BA.1, and changing background infection levels among the population.


Of all identified reinfections, most have been in the period when the Omicron variants were dominant 🆕

Of all identified reinfections, most have been in the period when the Omicron variants were dominant (91.6%). A large proportion of these reinfections had first infections in the periods when Alpha (35.0%) and Delta (35.6%) variants were dominant. A small proportion of people have had a first and second infection during the period when the same variant was dominant, but the rate is highest for those in the period when the Omicron variants were dominant (21.0%) because this period includes BA.1, BA.2, BA.4 and BA.5.



ONS Weekly COVID-19 Recorded Deaths

Deaths involving COVID-19 increased in the UK 🆕

According to the ONS, there were 365 deaths involving COVID-19 registered in England and Wales in the week ending 9 September 2022, up from 314 in the previous week.

The total number of deaths in England and Wales was 10,753, which was 9.6% above the five-year average (938 excess deaths). This means COVID-19 deaths accounted for 3.4% of all deaths in the latest week, a decrease from 3.5% in the previous week.

The number of death registrations in the weeks ending 2 September and 9 September 2022 are affected by the bank holiday on 29 August 2022. Caution is needed when comparing across weeks, and with the five-year average.



(Note: There were no data available for Scotland in the latest week. Therefore there are no UK figures available. There were 9 deaths in Northern Ireland in the week ending 9 September 2022, an increase from 6 in the previous week. In England, the number of deaths involving COVID-19 increased from 297 to 339. Trends in deaths involving COVID-19 varied across English regions and across age groups.)





latest guidance


UK Government’s List of symptoms of COVID-19

After two years without updating its list of just three symptoms of COVID-19 (a high temperature, a new continuous cough and a loss or change to the sense of smell or taste), the NHS has finally updated its list of symptoms of COVID:

😩 Shortness of breath
🥱 Feeling tired or exhausted
🤕 An aching body
🤯 A headache
🤐 A sore throat
🤧 A blocked or runny nose
😞 Loss of appetite
🥴 Diarrhoea
🤮 Feeling sick or being sick

No change to MHRA advice on the safety and effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines for those who are pregnant or breastfeeding

Our advice remains that the COVID-19 vaccines are safe and effective during pregnancy and breastfeeding.

We are aware of false claims on social media that our advice on the safety and effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines while pregnant or breastfeeding has changed.

We would like to reassure the public that our advice has not changed. Our advice remains that the COVID-19 vaccines are safe and effective during pregnancy and breastfeeding and there is substantial evidence to support this advice.

(Source: MHRA, Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency)

TRAVEL: Entry rules and restrictions

Check out the latest situation for 20 of the top travel destinations for Brits:



ZOE COVID Study’s Top 20 symptoms of COVID-19 (as of 8-Sep-2022)






latest news


Most reinfections happened when the Omicron variants were dominant — ONS 🆕


There has been a large increase in the rate for first reinfections since the Omicron variants became dominant (20 December 2021 onwards), with the risk of reinfection being around five times higher than when the Delta variant was most common.

Of all identified second infections between 2 July 2020 and 3 September 2022, the majority (91.6%) have been in the period when the Omicron variants were dominant. Of these reinfections when the Omicron variants were dominant, 35.0% had first infections when the Alpha variant was dominant, 35.6% had first infections when the Delta variant was dominant and 21.0% had first infections when the Omicron variants were dominant. Reinfections within the same variant-dominant period were much less likely in the Alpha (1.5%) and Delta (0.8%) dominant periods.

(Source: ONS)

Over 130,000 excess deaths so far in the coronavirus pandemic — ONS


There was a total of 137,447 excess deaths due to all causes registered in England and Wales between the start of the COVID-19 pandemic (March 2020) and June 2022. If deaths due to COVID-19 were removed, deaths were 7,360 below average. If deaths involving COVID-19 were removed, deaths were 31,397 below average.

Deaths due to COVID-19 are those where it is the underlying cause of death, whereas deaths involving COVID-19 are those where it is mentioned anywhere on the death certificate and can include deaths with a different underlying cause.

April 2020 (43,796 excess deaths) and January 2021 (16,546 excess deaths) had the highest number of excess deaths, corresponding with the highest numbers of deaths due to COVID-19.

There is evidence that deaths unrelated to COVID-19 usually expected to have occurred in hospitals shifted to other places throughout the pandemic, in particular private homes.

Considering deaths due to causes other than COVID-19 registered between March 2020 and June 2022 in England and Wales:

  • private homes saw 89,253 excess deaths, 30.2% above the five-year average
  • hospitals saw 83,827 fewer deaths, 14.6% below the five-year average
  • hospices saw 10,936 fewer deaths, 16.1% below the five-year average
  • care homes saw 8,557 fewer deaths, 3.2% below the five-year average

Deaths occurring “elsewhere” include all places not covered in other categories, such as a death in someone else’s home or those who are pronounced dead on arrival at hospital.

(Source: ONS)



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covid tweets







we need your help


Since February 2022, the UKHSA has slowly reduced the publishing of its daily COVID updates, following the UK Government’s narrative that we should all “live with the virus”. UKHSA now reports only once a week.

The virus doesn’t take a break 6 days a week.
It doesn’t infect people from time to time.
It doesn’t stop at a border either.

The virus still spreads and kills people every day in the UK and around the world. COVID-19 is NOT over.

We, at PMP, have decided to continue to publish the latest COVID data available every day.

Please, support our work through our crowdfunding to help us to continue our COVID reporting: Donate now.


🙈🙉🙊 #CovidIsNotOver.






must-read


Outcomes at least 90 days since onset of myocarditis after mRNA COVID-19 vaccination in adolescents and young adults in the USA: a follow-up surveillance study
After at least 90 days since onset of myocarditis after mRNA COVID-19 vaccination,most individuals in our cohort were considered recovered by health-care providers,and quality of life measures were comparable to those in pre-pandemic and early pandemicpopulations of a similar age. These findings…
Population-wide cohort study detects increase in major arterial and venous thrombotic events immediately after COVID-19 diagnoses
In a new study, researchers explored the association between coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and vascular thrombotic events using a population-wide cohort study across England and Wales.
Smart mask could be early warning system for outbreaks of respiratory diseases
Chinese researchers have developed a wearable bioelectric mask that can sniff out diseases such Covid-19 and influenza, and may help prevent future outbreaks.
Covid infection increases risk of blood clots for a year: Study
The research, published recently in the journal Circulation, found that in the first week following a Covid-19 diagnosis, people were 21 times more likely to have a heart attack or a stroke, conditions mainly caused by blood clots in arteries.












variant news



■ 🧬 COG-UK sequencing





(Source: COG-UK)



🧬 UKHSA Variant Technical Briefing

BA.5
BA.5 is the predominant circulating variant in the UK.

BA.4/BA.5
Analysis of the relative risk of admission to hospital as an inpatient following presentation to emergency care, comparing BA.4 and BA.5 to BA.2 found no evidence for a difference in risk between the variants.

BA.4.6
Newly designated variant – V-22SEP-01 (BA.4.6) Omicron sub-lineage BA.4.6 was identified as part of horizon scanning on 15 August 2022. On 1 September 2022 BA.4.6 was designated as variant V-22SEP-01.

BA.4.6 has a mutation in a known antigenically significant site (S: R346T) and an apparent small growth advantage relative to BA.5. BA.4.6 represented 3.31% of UK samples for the week beginning 14 August 2022. The University of Oxford reported preliminary neutralisation data to the Variant Technical Group. Pseudoviral neutralisation assays performed on BA.4.6 show that titres are reduced 2-fold, compared to neutralisation of BA.4 or BA.5 using sera from triple dosed recipients of the Pfizer BNT162b2 vaccine.

BA.2.75
As of 6 September 2022, there were 100 cases with BA.2.75 in the UK. Of these, 89 were in England, 7 in Scotland and 4 in Wales. BA.2.75 is currently increasing in frequency in England. The growth rate increased from July 2022 to August 2022 and is currently 61% per week compared to co-circulating lineages.

Two sub-lineages of BA.2.75 (BA.2.75.1 and BA.2.75.2) are currently being assessed. Sublineage BA.2.75.1 is defined by the addition of S:D574V, and sub-lineage BA.2.75.2 by the addition of S:R346T, S:F486S, S:D1199N. Sub-lineage BA.2.75.2 was first identified as part of horizon scanning on 20 August 2022 and was made a signal in monitoring on 7 September 2022.

(Source: UKHSA)









vaccination


💉 Latest UK Vaccination

Note: UK vaccination data is now published weekly on Thursdays.






(Source: UK Health Security Agency + Public Health Wales
+ Public Health Scotland + HSC NI + ONS)


Note: Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021. (Source: ONS)









long covid


🧩 Long COVID


LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE (ONS – 1-Sep-2022, Data up to 31-Jul-2022)

🚨 2 million people currently live with long COVID in the UK (vs 1.8 million last month)
🚨 3.1% of the UK population currently live with long COVID (vs 2.8%)
🚨 1 in 33 people in the UK has long COVID
🚨 Long COVID symptoms still adversely affect the day-to-day activities of 1.5 million people, 73% of long COVID sufferers (vs 1.3 million)
🚨 Of those, 384,000 people (19%) are “limited a lot” (vs 369,000)
🚨 582,000 (29%) first had COVID-19 before Alpha became the main variant; 256,000 (13%) in the Alpha period, 386,000 (19%) in the Delta period, and 681,000 (34%) in the Omicron period.
LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE

🚨 Most common symptoms of long COVID
▫ fatigue (62%) ▲
▫ shortness of breath (37%) ▲
▫ difficulty concentrating (33%) ▲
▫ muscle ache (31%) ▲

🚨 Prevalence of long COVID is greatest in people
▫ aged 35-69 years
▫ females
▫ living in more deprived areas
▫ working in social care
▫ with another activity limiting health condition or disability

🚨 Long COVID by occupation (ONS – 29 Jun-2022)
▫ Police and protective services (25%)
▫ Education (22%)
▫ Social care sector (22%)


Note: There has been a change in the way the data are collected by the ONS. As a result, these estimates are not fully comparable with those in previous bulletins. For more details on these changes, please see the Impact of moving to remote data collection.








long covid kids


🧩 Long COVID Kids

LONG COVID KIDS

According to a recent systematic review and meta-analyses of Long-COVID in children and adolescents published in Nature:

🚨 Long COVID affects 1 in 4 infected children (25.24%)

🚨 For hospitalised children, prevalence of long-COVID is nearly 1 in 3 infected children (29.19%)

🚨 Most prevalent clinical manifestations of Long COVID in children/adolescents:
▫ mood symptoms (16.50%)
▫ fatigue (9.66%)
▫ sleep disorders (8.42%)
▫ headache (7.84%)
▫ respiratory symptoms (7.62%)
▫ sputum production or nasal congestion (7.53%)
▫ cognitive symptoms (6.27%)
▫ loss of appetite (6.07%)
▫ exercise intolerance (5.73%)
▫ altered smell (5.60%)

🚨 Children infected by COVID-19 have a higher risk of persistent dyspnea, anosmia/ageusia, and/or fever

🚨 Like adults, the pediatric population’s risk factors associated with long-COVID are:
▫ older age children
▫ female gender
▫ severe COVID-19
▫ overweight/obesity
▫ comorbid allergic diseases and other long-term co-morbidities

Click to enlarge


Conclusion

The authors of the systematic review and meta-analyses of Long-COVID in children and adolescents conclude:

🧾
Protective measures are essential to prevent long-COVID in children. We need to understand the long-COVID pathophysiology and symptomatology to support clinical management systems, establish rehabilitation programs, and design guidelines and therapeutic research.
Long-COVID represents a significant public health concern, and there are no guidelines to address its diagnosis and management.
“Our meta-analyses further support the importance of continuously monitoring the impact of long-COVID in children and adolescents and the need to include all variables and appropriate control cohorts in studies to better understand the real burden of pediatric long-COVID.”






additional data


Weekly New Hospital Admissions for COVID-19 (per million)




Total Cases & Total Deaths




Orphanhood in the UK

🕯️ Orphanhood of children from COVID-19 is estimated at 15,189 in the UK.
🚨 A tragedy barely mentioned in the media.
(Source: Imperial College London)




Orphanhood in the World

🕯️ Globally 10.5M children lost parents or caregivers and 7.5M children experienced COVID-associated orphanhood.
(Source: JAMA Network)




Estimated ®️ Number

(Sources: UK Health Security Agency + Welsh Government
+ Scottish Government + N-I Ministry of Health)



Population Testing Positive for COVID-19

(Source: ONS)



Number of contact tracing alerts sent (England & Wales)

(Source: NHS)



Stringency Index

(Source: University of Oxford)






data sources


📚 Data Sources:

Our reporting strategy

Since 27 July we don’t publish the UKHSA data in our daily reporting. Those figures are just conveniently and undoubtedly flawed. Instead, we now focus on the ZOE COVID Study and the ONS Infection Survey data.

Our readers deserve the truth about COVID-19 and the UK government has clearly been doing everything – from ending free tests to irregular dashboard reports, delaying and ending some data reports – to make sure the media slowly lose interest in COVID reporting and get the public to believe both that they can live with the virus and that the pandemic is over. This is wrong and untrue, as the WHO and most public health experts have repeatedly told us.

For these reasons, PMP Magazine has so far, and will continue to publish COVID daily updates because we see it as part of our mission to always report the truth, even if it means we are the last media in the UK to do so.

While others are sleepwalking to hide the inconvenient truth about COVID-19, PMP Magazine isn’t giving up! Our daily report is free and accessible to all.

Please support our work with a donation: PMP-Magazine.com/crowdfunding

COVID is not over.



PMP Magazine



Going further:

  • Estimates of the population for the UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, 2019 | ONS
  • Borough of Tonbridge and Malling, Kent





  • — AUTHOR —


    J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.



    Sources
    • Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 21 Sept 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
    • Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
    • Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
    • Icons from www.flaticon.com





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