▪ Latest ZOE Study

The ZOE COVID Study’s positive symptomatic case estimate is currently 239,922 new cases*. It is predicted that at least 2,922,295 people have symptomatic COVID today in the UK.


  • 7-Oct estimate: 239,922 new cases (+13.1% in a week)
  • 7-day estimate: 1,621,581 cases (+18.6%)
  • Daily average: 231,654 people infected on average every day
  • Currently predicted to have COVID: 2,922,295 people
(* This is the equivalent of the population of the Metropolitan Borough of Trafford in Greater Manchester¹ being infected in one day.)

▪ Deaths involving COVID

Deaths involving COVID-19 increased

In the week ending 30 September 2022 (Week 39), 10,960 deaths were registered in England and Wales; 287 of these deaths mentioned "novel coronavirus (COVID-19)", accounting for 2.6% of all deaths.

This is an increase compared with the week ending 23 September 2022 (Week 38), when the number of all-cause deaths registered was 8,751; COVID-19 accounted for 235 of these deaths (2.7%), which was a similar proportion to the latest week.

The number of deaths registered in Week 39 is affected by the bank holiday on 19 September 2022, so caution is needed when comparing across weeks, and with the five-year average.

PMP Magazine

Going further:

  • Estimates of the population for the UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland, 2019 | ONS

  • — AUTHOR —

    J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.

    • Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 11 October 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
    • Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
    • Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
    • Icons from www.flaticon.com

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