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Professor Paul Whiteley

Professor Paul Whiteley

Total 16 Posts
  • Colchester, UK.
Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex. Research interests: examining nature & significance of political participation, understanding causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Why refusing public sector pay rises won’t help reduce inflation

6 min read
Recent price rises are not due to higher wages but supply-side issues, including the war in Ukraine, the COVID pandemic, and Brexit. All in all, the current government’s intransigence on public sector pay is based on both bad economics and bad politics.

70 years of data suggest the Conservatives will suffer a big defeat at the next election

5 min read
Polling only provides a snapshot of the current moment but modelling across decades can help us predict the next election result.

Trust in UK politics has taken a hit after recent chaos – and historical data suggests only a change of government can fix it

4 min read
The public does not trust British political parties at the moment, particularly not the Tories. This affects their ability to govern because much of governing is about persuading people to do or not to do things, and that becomes impossible if voters believe that they are being lied to all the time.

Liz Truss: Are the Conservatives facing an electoral meltdown?

5 min read
A quick look back at the history books might have deterred PM Liz Truss from her extreme actions.

Tory leadership race: Will Liz Truss’s tax cut proposals win her votes?

5 min read
The likely next prime minister is focusing on tax cuts to solve inflation. There are indeed votes to be won by focusing on taxes – but these are among Conservative party members, not the general public.

Cost of living crisis: The UK needs to raise taxes not cut them

5 min read
Tax cuts are unlikely to help Britain address its current crises. Extra spending has to be financed. To do this, Britain needs higher taxes, not tax cuts.

Is race an issue that might explain why Rishi Sunak is doing so badly among Tory members?

6 min read
A difficult question for pollsters to investigate: Is race an issue for Rishi Sunak? No one says ‘yes, ethnicity is an issue for me’ when pollsters ask but Conservative party members do show an above-average opposition to diversity drives.
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