S ince February 2022, the UKHSA has slowly reduced the publishing of its daily COVID updates, following the UK Government’s narrative that we should all “live with the virus”. They now report only once a week. We, at PMP Magazine, have decided to continue to publish the latest COVID data available every day using the data from the ZOE COVID Study and the ONS Infection Survey to understand what is still happening with the pandemic.


▪ The Latest

The current ZOE COVID Study positive symptomatic case estimate is 149,998 new cases. It is predicted that at least 2,088,568 people have symptomatic COVID today in the UK.

DETAILS:

  • Latest estimate: 149,998 new cases (+0.5% in a week)
  • 7-day estimate: 1,053,487 cases (+1.8%)
  • Daily average: 150,498 people infected on average every day
  • Currently predicted to have COVID: 2,088,568 people
  • It is estimated that there have been 63,071,759 cases in the UK since 1-Jan-202



“The winter wave is imminent – if not already here. The virus presents the greatest risk of transmission in indoor areas with poor ventilation. The problem is that the cold, damp, weather is arriving with more mixing indoors and few masks.”
Dr Joe Pajak









TABLE OF CONTENTS:








latest news


COVID-19 infections fell in England, Wales and Scotland — ONS 🆕


According to the ONS, COVID-19 infections continued to decrease in England, Wales and Scotland in the latest week (ending 15 November 2022), while the trend was uncertain in Northern Ireland.

The estimated percentage of people living in private households (those not in care homes or other communal establishments) testing positive for COVID-19 was:

  • 1.48% in England (1 in 65 people)
  • 1.49% in Wales (1 in 65 people)
  • 1.86% in Northern Ireland (1 in 55 people)
  • 1.59% in Scotland (1 in 65 people)

Since the end of June 2022, most COVID-19 infections in the UK have been Omicron variant BA.5. A BA.5 sub-lineage, BQ.1, has been increasing considerably in recent weeks and accounted for 37.2% of all sequenced infections in the week ending 6 November 2022.

(Source: ONS)

Deaths involving COVID-19 continued to decrease in the UK — ONS


According to the ONS, there were 583 deaths involving COVID-19 registered in the UK in the week ending 11 November 2022. Of these, 478 were registered in England, 40 in Wales, 18 in Northern Ireland and 47 in Scotland. This is a decrease from 708 deaths registered in the UK in the previous week (ending 4 November 2022).

(Source: ONS)

Mortality rate for COVID-19 increased in October 2022 — ONS


According to the ONS, the mortality rate for deaths due to COVID-19 in England increased to 31 deaths per 100,000 people in October 2022, from 16.7 deaths per 100,000 people in September 2022. The rate was around two-fifths of the highest rate seen in 2022 (79.3 deaths per 100,000 people in January 2022).

In Wales, the COVID-19 mortality rate increased to 34.6 deaths per 100,000 people in October 2022, from 19.9 deaths per 100,000 people in September 2022. The rate was around two-fifths of the highest rate seen in 2022 (81.0 deaths per 100,000 people in January 2022).

In October 2022, COVID-19 was the eighth leading cause of death in England (3.3% of all deaths), rising from the 12th leading cause in September 2022 (1.8% of all deaths). In Wales, COVID-19 was the seventh leading cause of death in October 2022 (3.5% of all deaths), rising from the tenth leading cause in September 2022 (2.1% of all deaths).

(Source: ONS)

COVID-19 second highest cause of death for care home residents in 2021 — ONS


According to the ONS, COVID-19 was the second highest leading cause of death for approximately 14,800 care home residents in England and Wales in 2021, down from 25,500 care home residents in 2020.

This meant that coronavirus remained the second highest cause of death for care home residents in 2021, following Dementia and Alzheimer's disease. Among the general population, COVID-19 was also the second highest cause of death in 2021.

In England, coronavirus remained the leading cause of death in care home residents aged under 65, but at a lower rate than in 2020. In 2021, the virus accounted for 8.7% of male care home resident deaths and 9.2% of female care home resident deaths aged under 65 in England. In 2020, 13.5% of male deaths and 13.4% of female deaths among these younger care home residents had coronavirus as a leading cause of death.

In Wales, the leading cause of death for most age groups in 2021 was Dementia and Alzheimer's disease. COVID-19 was the leading cause of death for male care home residents under 65, accounting for 14.3% of deaths (compared with 12.5% of deaths of male care home residents in 2020).

(Source: ONS)



For more stories like this,
sign up to our FREE Briefings today.














covid data summary


Reminder on data reporting in the UK

Since 1 July 2022, the COVID-19 UKHSA Dashboard has moved to weekly reporting. From 8 September 2022, updates take place on Thursdays.
The reporting of ZOE COVID Study data has remained daily.
The reporting of ONS Infection Survey data has remained weekly with a 7-day lag.



ZOE COVID Study Estimates

■ Daily Estimated Cases

In the past 11 months (since 1-Jan-2022), there was only 1 day when COVID infections went under 100,000 in 24h in the UK. That was on 29-Aug-2022. There were then 99,904 infections. It happened once only.

Apart from 29-Aug-2022, there were over 100,000 COVID cases every day in 2022.

That is not normal.


(Note: ZOE daily new cases are updated daily at 9am and based on PCR and LFT test data as of 2 days ago.)





ONS Infection Survey Estimates

■ Weekly Estimates of Cases

According to the ONS, COVID-19 infections continued to decrease in England, Wales and Scotland in the latest week (ending 15 November 2022), while the trend was uncertain in Northern Ireland.

The ONS estimates that 972,400 people tested positive for COVID-19 in that week.





Weekly Estimate of Estimates





ONS Weekly COVID-19 Recorded Deaths

■ Deaths involving COVID-19 decreased in the UK

According to the ONS, there were 583 deaths involving COVID-19 registered in the UK in the week ending 11 November 2022. Of these, 478 were registered in England, 40 in Wales, 18 in Northern Ireland and 47 in Scotland. This is a decrease from 708 deaths registered in the UK in the previous week (ending 4 November 2022).








UKHSA Latest Data (ENG ONLY)

Data officially reported for the latest ‘available’ data set in each case, and produced by Dr Joe Pajak.








guidance


UK Government’s List of symptoms of COVID-19

After two years without updating its list of just three symptoms of COVID-19 (a high temperature, a new continuous cough and a loss or change to the sense of smell or taste), the NHS has finally updated its list of symptoms of COVID:

😩 Shortness of breath
🥱 Feeling tired or exhausted
🤕 An aching body
🤯 A headache
🤐 A sore throat
🤧 A blocked or runny nose
😞 Loss of appetite
🥴 Diarrhoea
🤮 Feeling sick or being sick


Top symptoms of COVID-19 (as of 3-Nov-2022)
ZOE COVID Study

How to do a coronavirus (COVID-19) rapid lateral flow test
Find out how to do an NHS rapid lateral flow test for COVID-19 and report the results. Rapid lateral flow tests show the result on a device that comes with the test.






we need your help


Since February 2022, the UKHSA has slowly reduced the publishing of its daily COVID updates, following the UK Government’s narrative that we should all “live with the virus”. UKHSA now reports only once a week.

The virus doesn’t take a break 6 days a week.
It doesn’t infect people from time to time.
It doesn’t stop at a border either.

The virus still spreads and kills people every day in the UK and around the world. COVID-19 is NOT over.

We, at PMP, have decided to continue to publish the latest COVID data available every day.

Please, support our work through our crowdfunding to help us to continue our COVID reporting.


🙈🙉🙊 #CovidIsNotOver.





lexiCOVID







must-read


Long COVID stigma may encourage people to hide the condition
A UK survey found most long COVID sufferers have experienced discrimination, prejudice or shame related to the condition.
Things everyone should know about COVID-19 (Part 2: Transmission & Protection)
This piece highlights important things about how COVID-19 is transmitted and what variant-proof measures can be taken to reduce the risk of becoming infected or reinfected.
Things everyone should know about COVID-19 (Part 1: Immune System)
With poor public health messaging, the general public doesn’t seem to know some important things about how COVID-19 and the immune system actually work.
Competition between respiratory viruses may hold off a ‘tripledemic’ this winter
Researchers say there is a growing body of evidence these viruses interfere with each other’s spread
What Are COVID Rebound and Paxlovid Rebound?
COVID-19 symptoms can return even after a person feels fully recovered and has a negative home test. Find out what to do if rebound happens to you.
The next pandemic? WHO working on list of pathogens to watch
The UN health agency is convening over 300 scientists to figure out which viruses and bacteria could potentially spark another international outbreak.
Wear a mask in public — Successive COVID infections increase health risks, new study
A new study shows that repeat COVID infections contribute to a significant additional risk of adverse health conditions in multiple organ systems. Long COVID is going to be a defining issue of our times.
China-bashing is being used to normalise mass-disability and loss of life
China’s Zero COVID policy is being criticised as a means of legitimising the abandonment of public health in the West.
Sharon Stone reveals unlucky outcome following doctor’s visit
Sharon Stone took to Instagram to reveal an unfortunate outcome from her doctor’s visit involving her health
Anti-lockdown protests erupt in China’s Xinjiang
Local authorities to partially and progressively ease lockdown in ‘low risk’ areas, CNN reports.
Japan reports 125,327 new coronavirus cases
Japan on Saturday reported 125,327 new coronavirus cases, up 7,487 from Friday. Tokyo reported 13,569 new cases, up 631 from Friday. The number of infected people hospitalized with severe symptoms in Tokyo was 18, down two from Friday. The nationwide figure was 303, up eight from Friday. The number…






must-watch







variant news



■ 🧬 COG-UK sequencing





Latest Horizon Scanning — Briefing 48

The following describes updates to signals/designated variants in horizon scanning. Sequence and sample counts reported below are as of 25-Nov-2022.

BA.5, including all sub-lineages, remains the dominant parent lineage in the UK at more than 75% of all sequenced samples in the UK.

BQ.1 is a BA.5 sub-lineage with additional spike mutations L452R, N460K, and K444T. BQ.1 and its sub-lineages represent greater than 40% of all sequenced UK samples.

XBB has shown some growth in the UK. However, in the week commencing 7 November 2022, XBB represented only 1.8% of the total number of UK sequenced samples. A total of 345 UK XBB samples have been sequenced so far.

BA.5.2.35 was raised as a signal in monitoring due to a high logistic regression growth rate in the UK data. This lineage is defined the addition of the spike mutation R346T relative to BA.5.2, in addition to 2 synonymous single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) G28423C and C7006T. There have been 848 samples identified in the UK and 447 samples in 29 non-UK countries. We continue to monitor growth.

BN.1, and its sub-lineages, was raised as a signal in monitoring due to a high logistic regression growth rate in the UK data. This lineage is characterised by the addition of spike mutations R346T and F490S to the lineage BA.2.75.5. There have been 190 samples identified in the UK and 1,127 samples in 35 non-UK countries. We continue to monitor growth.

BF.7, BS.1, BA.4.7, BA.2.3.20, and the recombinant XAW have all been de-escalated monitoring due to reduced incidence and low growth rates in the UK.

An international signal has been raised on a cluster of BA.5.7 sequences from Australia, due to more nucleotide synonymous transition mutations (purine to purine or pyrimidine to pyrimidine) than expected. In addition to the mutations defining the BA.5.7 lineage and a number of synonymous mutations, these sequences include 2 mutations resulting in amino acid changes; S:Y453F and Orf1a:A1679T. The cluster currently contains 9 samples. Sequences will be monitored. A further cluster of 9 Australian sequences of lineage BM.2 is also being monitored. This cluster also contains a higher number of transition mutations than expected as well as the following Spike mutations; D111N, S151N, V289I, T549I, D574N, A701V, L841, V1230M. Investigation is ongoing. 

(Source: UKHSA)






vaccination


💉 Latest UK Vaccination

Note: UK vaccination data is now published weekly on Thursdays.





(Source: UK Health Security Agency + Public Health Wales
+ Public Health Scotland + HSC NI + ONS)


Note: Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.

PMP Xtra

Total UK population: 67,081,234 (last year: 66,796,800), via ONS (subject to changes in population over the year). These figures were updated on 25 June 2021. (Source: ONS)









long covid


🧩 Long COVID


LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE (ONS – 4-Nov-2022, Data up to 1-Oct-2022)

🚨 2.1 million people currently live with long COVID in the UK (vs 2.3 million last month | -8.7%)
🚨 3.1% of the UK population currently live with long COVID (vs 3.5%)
🚨 1 in 32 people in the UK has long COVID
🚨 Long COVID symptoms still adversely affect the day-to-day activities of 1.6 million people, 73% of long COVID sufferers (vs 1.6 million)
🚨 Of those, 333,000 people (16%) are “limited a lot” (vs 342,000)
🚨 641,000 (30%) first had COVID-19 before Alpha became the main variant; 257,000 (12%) in the Alpha period, 395,000 (19%) in the Delta period, and 749,000 (35%) in the Omicron period.
LONG COVID UK ESTIMATE

🚨 Most common symptoms of long COVID
▫ fatigue (70%) ▲
▫ difficulty concentrating (45%) =
▫ shortness of breath (42%) =
▫ muscle ache (42%) ▲

🚨 Prevalence of long COVID is greatest in people
▫ aged 35-69 years
▫ females
▫ living in more deprived areas
▫ working in social care
▫ aged 16+ not working and not looking for work
▫ with another activity-limiting health condition or disability

🚨 Long COVID by occupation (ONS – 29 Jun-2022)
▫ Police and protective services (25%)
▫ Education (22%)
▫ Social care sector (22%)










long covid kids


🧩 Long COVID Kids

LONG COVID KIDS

According to a recent systematic review and meta-analyses of Long-COVID in children and adolescents published in Nature:

🚨 Long COVID affects 1 in 4 infected children (25.24%)

🚨 For hospitalised children, prevalence of long-COVID is nearly 1 in 3 infected children (29.19%)

🚨 Most prevalent clinical manifestations of Long COVID in children/adolescents:
▫ mood symptoms (16.50%)
▫ fatigue (9.66%)
▫ sleep disorders (8.42%)
▫ headache (7.84%)
▫ respiratory symptoms (7.62%)
▫ sputum production or nasal congestion (7.53%)
▫ cognitive symptoms (6.27%)
▫ loss of appetite (6.07%)
▫ exercise intolerance (5.73%)
▫ altered smell (5.60%)

🚨 Children infected by COVID-19 have a higher risk of persistent dyspnea, anosmia/ageusia, and/or fever

🚨 Like adults, the pediatric population’s risk factors associated with long-COVID are:
▫ older age children
▫ female gender
▫ severe COVID-19
▫ overweight/obesity
▫ comorbid allergic diseases and other long-term co-morbidities

Conclusion

The authors of the systematic review and meta-analyses of Long-COVID in children and adolescents conclude:

🧾
Protective measures are essential to prevent long-COVID in children. We need to understand the long-COVID pathophysiology and symptomatology to support clinical management systems, establish rehabilitation programs, and design guidelines and therapeutic research.
Long-COVID represents a significant public health concern, and there are no guidelines to address its diagnosis and management.
“Our meta-analyses further support the importance of continuously monitoring the impact of long-COVID in children and adolescents and the need to include all variables and appropriate control cohorts in studies to better understand the real burden of pediatric long-COVID.”







education


Absence & Attendance in Schools

Going further...






additional data


Weekly New Hospital Admissions for COVID-19 (per million)




Total Cases & Total Deaths




Orphanhood in the UK 🆕

🕯️ Orphanhood of children from COVID-19 is estimated at 15,578 in the UK.
🚨 A tragedy barely mentioned in the media.
(Source: Imperial College London)




Orphanhood in the World 🆕

🕯️ Globally 7.67M children experienced COVID-associated orphanhood.
(Source: JAMA Network)




Estimated ®️ Number

(Sources: UK Health Security Agency + Welsh Government
+ Scottish Government + N-I Ministry of Health + UK Health Security Agency)



Population Testing Positive for COVID-19

(Source: ONS)



Number of contact tracing alerts sent (England & Wales)

(Source: NHS)



Stringency Index

(Source: University of Oxford)






data sources


📚 Data Sources:

Our reporting strategy

Since 27 July we don’t publish the UKHSA data in our daily reporting. Those figures are just conveniently and undoubtedly flawed. Instead, we now focus on the ZOE COVID Study and the ONS Infection Survey data.

Our readers deserve the truth about COVID-19 and the UK government has clearly been doing everything – from ending free tests to irregular dashboard reports, delaying and ending some data reports – to make sure the media slowly lose interest in COVID reporting and get the public to believe both that they can live with the virus and that the pandemic is over. This is wrong and untrue, as the WHO and most public health experts have repeatedly told us.

For these reasons, PMP Magazine has so far, and will continue to publish COVID daily updates because we see it as part of our mission to always report the truth, even if it means we are the last media in the UK to do so.

While others are sleepwalking to hide the inconvenient truth about COVID-19, PMP Magazine isn’t giving up! Our daily report is free and accessible to all.

Please support our work with a donation: PMP-Magazine.com/crowdfunding

COVID is not over.



PMP Magazine







— AUTHOR —

J.N. PAQUET, Author & Journalist, Editor of PMP Magazine.
     



Sources
  • Text: This piece was first published in PMP Magazine on 29 November 2022. | The authors write in a personal capacity.
  • Data cross-referenced with the latest official data from the UK dashboard.
  • Cover: Adobe Stock/SergeyBitos.
  • Icons from www.flaticon.com