Total 5 Posts

By-election losses are terrible for the Conservatives – but there are glimmers of hope

4 min read
The Conservatives lost two more by-elections, and only just held Uxbridge by a whisker. The party faces its worst defeat since 1997 as Sunak lags far behind Starmer. Is there more trouble ahead?

Boris Johnson resignation: Why Rishi Sunak can’t afford to lose more than one of three impending by-elections

4 min read
Labour stands a good chance of taking one of three impending votes, while losing either of the other two would be very bad news for Rishi Sunak.

Boris Johnson has triggered a bumper by-election bonanza – I studied 148 past contests to find out what we can expect

5 min read
Boris Johnson and two of his supporters have left parliament, triggering three by-elections which could be crucial for the future of British politics. What can the history and patterns of by-elections tell us about the chances of a change in power?

Wakefield and Tiverton and Honiton by-elections: Even Boris Johnson loyalists will now be worried for the next election.

5 min read
By-election defeats in Tiverton and Honiton and Wakefield will have shaken some Conservative MPs. If he survives until next year, Boris Johnson will need credible local election results.

Tiverton and Honiton by-election: Rural communities are itching for the chance to cast a protest vote.

5 min read
The Liberal Democrats think they can take the seat from Boris Johnson’s Conservatives in the wake of partygate – and longstanding resentment towards the political class is fuelling their optimism.
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