UK General Election
Total 6 Posts
Why Labour will resist calls for electoral alliances, even when facing the prospect of a hung parliament5 min read
Forming a pact with the Liberal Democrats to form a ‘Progressive Alliance’ would make electoral sense in England – but Keir Starmer does not see it as a risk worth taking.
The likely next prime minister is focusing on tax cuts to solve inflation. There are indeed votes to be won by focusing on taxes – but these are among Conservative party members, not the general public.
I think the Tories are heading for a decade of strife and internecine warfare, worse than the period after Thatcher. And I think – although this is pretty speculative – that it could lead to a complete split between the two wings. Here is why.
Without a fresh new vision, the next Conservative prime minister risks leading their party to election loss.4 min read
Be it Liz Truss or Rishi Sunak, the incoming leader – and next prime minister – will inherit a party in deep trouble and in a precarious position that risks losing the next general election.
Kinnock lost two elections as Labour leader. Starmer could learn a lot from his successes and failures.
Boris Johnson should be very worried about what 2022 local council results mean for the next general election.4 min read
There is a strong correlation between local election results and general election results two years later. If that pattern holds, Johnson’s parliamentary majority is at risk. The Conservatives could lose up to 122 seats in the next general election.